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Mission Ivorybilled | IBWO #2
[Posted by Chuck Almdale]
There’s more information out there than I (and it seems most other people as well) was aware of that there really may be some Ivory-billed Woodpeckers (IBWO) alive and kicking. One scientist-blogger recently put it like this: “my Bayesian priors have bumped up a notch.”
Link to IBWO #1.
I really liked the discussion below. It’s by people who live in the area, have been out there tromping through the woods and paddling up the creeks, heard rapping and caught glimpses. Their descriptions of their experiences pass my BS-test with flying colors. They have details, are careful, are experienced, yet are not eager to convince anyone. One “sat on his sighting” for years to avoid harassment – of the birds and of himself. This Zoom video is part of a series to raise awareness of IBWO, primarily because if the IBWO is officially and prematurely declared extinct, survival of any remaining birds could suddenly get a lot tougher. My only adverse criticism is they could take a bit more care with their dates. Watching it after-the-fact by months or years one can lose track of which year they’re talking about. Definitely worth your viewing time.
They make several references to Dr. Michael Collins and a “flyunder” video. I think they’re talking about this video, which is definitely worth your viewing.
Here’s a link to Michael Collins’s paper discussing IBWO flight behavior.
One of the speakers in the first video, a man with at least 30 years experience in investigative work, mentioned the “Dunning-Kruger effect” when it come to people’s ability to accept new information or change their opinion.
The Dunning-Kruger effect is a type of cognitive bias that causes people
to overestimate their knowledge or ability, particularly in areas
with which they have little to no experience.
Dunning-Kruger effect, in psychology, a cognitive bias whereby people with limited knowledge or competence in a given intellectual or social domain greatly overestimate their own knowledge or competence in that domain relative to objective criteria or to the performance of their peers or of people in general.

According to the researchers for whom it is named, psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger, the effect is explained by the fact that the metacognitive ability to recognize deficiencies in one’s own knowledge or competence requires that one possess at least a minimum level of the same kind of knowledge or competence, which those who exhibit the effect have not attained. Because they are unaware of their deficiencies, such people generally assume that they are not deficient, in keeping with the tendency of most people to “choose what they think is the most reasonable and optimal option.” Although not scientifically explored until the late 20th century, the phenomenon is familiar from ordinary life, and it has long been attested in common sayings—e.g., “A little knowledge is a dangerous thing”—and in observations by writers and wits through the ages—e.g., “Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge” (Charles Darwin).
In my opinion: Doubt Certainty.
Ivory-billed Woodpecker still surviving in Louisiana? | Pre-print study plus film & additional comments
[Posted by Chuck Almdale]

Below you will find a link to a not-yet-peer-reviewed pre-print of a study in Louisiana riverine swampland. The study by a consortium of agencies includes ten years of search effort. Hundreds of thousands of hours of trail camera photos, videos and drone photography were taken and examined. It makes for interesting reading, and includes photographs at the end, starting at page 26 (line 546). This link appeared on the nationwide chat line BirdChat.
Some comments and links from other birders posted to BirdChat over the following few days which are also of interest. They are at the bottom. Two articles and link to a video follow the quote from the study below.
From the paper, with permission from the lead author:
The phenotypically similar Pileated is one of the most unspecialized of the truly arboreal woodpeckers, while the Campephilus woodpeckers are characterized by pamprodactyly, a pedal morphology that enables the forward rotation of all four toes. The specialized modifications in the highly arboreal Ivory-billed Woodpecker are not so much in the structure of the toes as in the position of the legs. The feet are held outward from the body and are directed diagonally upward and sidewise, with both feet wide apart and more anterior relative to the body. Usually the angle between the tarsi and the horizontal plane is ≤45 ̊, and often seem to be pressed against the tree trunk. This is very different from the condition seen in most woodpeckers, as, for example, the Pileated Woodpecker, where the legs are held more or less beneath the pelvic girdle, the joints are fully flexed, and the tarsi are held well away from the tree trunk. This generally results also in a more obtuse angle of the intertarsal joint (where the leg bends between the tibiotarsus and the tarsometatarsus), and is evidence of the better scansorial adaptations of the Ivory-billed Woodpecker compared to the Pileated Woodpecker.
Multiple lines of evidence indicate survival of the Ivory-billed Woodpecker in Louisiana. Steven C. Latta, plus multiple authors and agencies.
This short article contains a 25-minute video that is well worth watching
Not Extinct After All: First ‘Widely Accepted Sighting’ of Ivory-Billed Woodpecker Since 1944
Eco-Watch | Cristen Hemingway Jaynes | 15 Apr 2022 | 2 Min read
Here’s a direct link to the 25-minute YouTube video mentioned above.
Another article on the recent paper.
Researchers claim to have sighted a bird not sighted since 1944
MIC.com | A.J. Dellinger | 13 Apr 2022 | 3 min read
Lead paragraph:
If you ask the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, the ivory-billed woodpecker is extinct. It’s been more than half a century since anyone has seen the iconic animal, which was last officially spotted in 1944. Extensive searches through the swamplands and forests of the southern U.S. that it was once known to occupy have come up empty, which led to the declaration that the bird was gone forever.
Not so fast.
Additional comments posted on BirdChat, in date/time order:
14 Apr 2022 07:25
The photos in the attached paper (from trail cameras) are hardly masterpieces but to my eye they are much more convincing than earlier purported evidence of surviving ivory-bills. If true (and let’s hope that it is) that means a small population survives near the Louisiana-Florida border. Note that this is a pre-print that has yet to be peer-reviewed.
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.04.06.487399v1.full.pdf
RO, Mississauga, ON, Canada
Thu, 14 Apr 2022 12:26
Very interesting. Agree the amount of white on folded wing is consistent with IBWO. Guess we need more and better evidence, but intriguing.
GM, Silver Spring, MD
14 Apr 2022 18:52
Much as I admire the continued search effort, the biorxiv preprint really only shows what seem to be blurry photos of Pileated Woodpecker, with the apparent white wing ‘saddle’ being attributable to incorrect interpretation of the position of the bird’s body in relation to the tree. There’s some images here https://twitter.com/docmartin2mc/status/1513873735488618506
A critique of the paper here
https://twitter.com/Alexander_Lees/status/1514555358919942146
and also a thoughtful thread about why the bird is inevitably extinct here
https://twitter.com/Alexander_Lees/status/1514290140365082631
JMC, Aberdeen, UK
17 Apr 2022
The authors are also relying on such things as leg position, so the white wing isn’t the only character they rely on. They also claim sight records and sound, so unless they are deliberately lying I would hope that their overall evidence is better than the photos in the paper. That said, I would agree that the evidence is inconclusive, though interesting.
RO, Mississauga, ON, Canada
[Posted by Chuck Almdale]
When a Giant Petrel attacks them, Emperor Penguin chicks stand together against it. Watch out for a cameo from a particularly feisty Adelie penguin! Preview from #SpyInTheSnow, out in the UK December 30th.
If no film or link appears in this email, go to the blog to view it by clicking on the blog title above. If the film stops & starts in an annoying manner, press pause (lower left double bars ||) to let it buffer and get ahead of you. [Chuck Almdale]
Ballona Freshwater Marsh | Safety Update #4 | LA Times
[Posted by Chuck Almdale]
But wait! There’s more! Unfortunately it doesn’t involve a super-spud-slicer. The three prior updates are: 7 Apr 2021, 11 Feb 2021 and 29 Jan 2021. Changes are afoot. Maybe.
If you recall from yesterday’s posting, there are hundreds [well…a lot, anyway] of RV’s in varying states of repair parked near the Ballona Freshwater Marsh, and it’s become unsafe and/or impossible to look at birds there, not to mention the accumulated trash and worse.
Due to the pandemic, people out-of-work, jobs and housing lost, the city stopped towing RV’s and/or telling their occupants to move. RV’s are all over town, not just in a few well-known areas of congregation. Here’s a guesstimate: In 90% of L.A. City you won’t have to drive more than ten minutes (maybe only five!) to find at least one such parked & occupied RV.

Los Angeles lifts moratorium on towing RVs, pledges to move problem campers
L.A. Times | Rachel Uranga & Ruben Vives | 7 Apr 2020 | 5 min read
From the article:
Hundreds of people living in recreational vehicles parked on Los Angeles streets have largely avoided towing thanks to a pandemic-era moratorium on impounding oversized vehicles used as homes.
But on Wednesday, the Los Angeles City Council voted to lift the moratorium amid growing complaints from residents who say some RV dwellers dump human waste on streets, use drugs and accumulate trash.
City officials say they will begin to enforce the regulation next month, prioritizing RVs and campers that are unregistered, inoperable or heavily damaged, as well as ones that interfere with construction, pose a safety hazard by blocking driveways or traffic or have had multiple responses from the Department of Sanitation. Officials will also resume towing cars that violate posted parking restrictions.
We’ll close with a not-uncommon denizen of the Ballona Freshwater Marsh, usually seen cruising low over the adjacent field.




















